Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.000088 0.000098 0.000108 0.000119 0.000132 0.000146 0.000162
2026-02-01 0.000074 0.000087 0.000101 0.000119 0.000139 0.000163 0.000192
2026-02-08 0.000063 0.000078 0.000095 0.000117 0.000145 0.000178 0.000221
2026-02-15 0.000055 0.000071 0.000090 0.000116 0.000150 0.000193 0.000251
2026-02-22 0.000049 0.000066 0.000087 0.000116 0.000156 0.000209 0.000284
2026-03-01 0.000044 0.000061 0.000083 0.000115 0.000160 0.000222 0.000313
2026-03-08 0.000040 0.000058 0.000081 0.000117 0.000168 0.000240 0.000352
2026-03-15 0.000037 0.000055 0.000079 0.000117 0.000174 0.000257 0.000388
2026-03-22 0.000034 0.000051 0.000077 0.000116 0.000178 0.000270 0.000422
2026-03-29 0.000032 0.000050 0.000076 0.000118 0.000186 0.000290 0.000467
2026-04-05 0.000030 0.000047 0.000074 0.000118 0.000191 0.000306 0.000506
2026-04-12 0.000028 0.000045 0.000072 0.000118 0.000195 0.000321 0.000545
2026-04-19 0.000026 0.000043 0.000070 0.000117 0.000198 0.000335 0.000584
2026-04-26 0.000024 0.000041 0.000068 0.000117 0.000203 0.000351 0.000630
2026-05-03 0.000022 0.000039 0.000066 0.000116 0.000206 0.000364 0.000669
2026-05-10 0.000021 0.000037 0.000064 0.000115 0.000209 0.000378 0.000713
2026-05-17 0.000020 0.000035 0.000063 0.000115 0.000214 0.000396 0.000764
2026-05-24 0.000018 0.000034 0.000061 0.000114 0.000216 0.000408 0.000806
2026-05-31 0.000018 0.000033 0.000061 0.000115 0.000223 0.000431 0.000872
2026-06-07 0.000017 0.000032 0.000060 0.000116 0.000228 0.000450 0.000931
2026-06-14 0.000016 0.000030 0.000058 0.000115 0.000231 0.000465 0.000983
2026-06-21 0.000015 0.000030 0.000058 0.000117 0.000240 0.000491 0.001062
2026-06-28 0.000015 0.000029 0.000057 0.000117 0.000244 0.000510 0.001126